Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009158 0.010301 0.011555 0.013039 0.014752 0.016674 0.019000
2025-05-04 0.007334 0.008860 0.010683 0.013039 0.016028 0.019729 0.024712
2025-05-11 0.006373 0.008067 0.010207 0.013143 0.017121 0.022405 0.030086
2025-05-18 0.005609 0.007362 0.009675 0.013003 0.017758 0.024447 0.034823
2025-05-25 0.005110 0.006920 0.009401 0.013122 0.018696 0.026957 0.040560
2025-06-01 0.004640 0.006452 0.009016 0.013004 0.019230 0.028891 0.045676
2025-06-08 0.004160 0.005913 0.008462 0.012551 0.019162 0.029840 0.049291
2025-06-15 0.003878 0.005634 0.008257 0.012594 0.019861 0.032088 0.055477
2025-06-22 0.003735 0.005546 0.008325 0.013067 0.021309 0.035781 0.064931
2025-06-29 0.003451 0.005214 0.007977 0.012810 0.021463 0.037190 0.070246
2025-07-06 0.003194 0.004903 0.007633 0.012519 0.021510 0.038391 0.075335
2025-07-13 0.003016 0.004704 0.007456 0.012495 0.022035 0.040558 0.082857
2025-07-20 0.002919 0.004639 0.007511 0.012921 0.023519 0.044967 0.096605
2025-07-27 0.002756 0.004452 0.007343 0.012926 0.024199 0.047871 0.107662
2025-08-03 0.002624 0.004308 0.007236 0.013029 0.025083 0.051348 0.120997
2025-08-10 0.002471 0.004113 0.007019 0.012890 0.025438 0.053692 0.131983
2025-08-17 0.002367 0.003997 0.006936 0.013008 0.026357 0.057500 0.148027
2025-08-24 0.002241 0.003833 0.006748 0.012891 0.026737 0.060073 0.161248
2025-08-31 0.002086 0.003603 0.006417 0.012442 0.026298 0.060526 0.168169
2025-09-07 0.002001 0.003499 0.006322 0.012485 0.027018 0.064095 0.186083
2025-09-14 0.001969 0.003493 0.006418 0.012953 0.028828 0.070924 0.217229
2025-09-21 0.001863 0.003336 0.006200 0.012699 0.028811 0.072684 0.231123
2025-09-28 0.001761 0.003182 0.005976 0.012411 0.028671 0.074078 0.244177